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Value Investing Scorecard

The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) stock analysis

Updated daily. This free report scores PG on business quality, financial strength, valuation, and downside protection so long-term investors can judge whether the stock is worth deeper research.

Business QualityFinancial StrengthValuationMargin Of Safety
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The Procter & Gamble Company

PG
Watchlist

The setup is interesting enough to monitor, but not yet strong enough for the top research bands. Conservative-case spread versus market price is -42.2%.

0/100Watchlist
Dimension Breakdown
Business Quality12 / 20
Financial Strength16 / 25
Management15 / 15
Valuation / Margin of Safety15 / 25
Macro5 / 10
Key Metrics
Revenue Growth (3Y)
6.1%
→
Gross Margin
50.2%
↑
Debt / EBITDA
1.43x
↑
FCF Margin
17.4%
↑
Conservative MoS
-42.2%
↓
Red Flags
⚠️
Gross Margin Declining for 3 Consecutive YearsMedium

Gross margin has compressed for three straight fiscal years.

Intrinsic Value Estimates
Current Market Price
$148.98
Conservative Case
$104.75
-42.2% above
Bullish Case
$178.02
+16.3% upside
⚠️ Trades within 20% of Bullish Case — Limited margin of safety
Normalized FCF$4.92B
Discount Rate / WACC10.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Terminal Value$154.22
Margin of Safety18.6%
DCF Fair Value Range
Conservative:$105→Bullish:$178
Margin of Safety:-42.2%
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Management Quality
CEO Tenure8.4 yrs
Insider Ownership4.2%
Buyback ConsistencyStrong
Capital Allocation ScoreB+
Shareholder Yield3.8%
🔒 Management Score — CEO tenure, buyback discipline, insider ownership score
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Management quality locked

CEO tenure, capital allocation discipline, buyback track record, and insider ownership analysis.

Macro & Sector Context
Rate SensitivityModerate
Inflation ExposureLow
Sector Tailwind Score7.2 / 10
Macro Risk RatingMedium
CyclicalityDefensive
🔒 Macro & Sector — Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, sector tailwinds/headwinds
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DCF Fair Value — Full model — WACC, terminal value, sensitivity analysis
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Management Score — CEO tenure, buyback discipline, insider ownership
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Macro Analysis — Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, sector tailwinds
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