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McDonald's Corporation (MCD) stock analysis

Updated daily. This free report scores MCD on business quality, financial strength, valuation, and downside protection so long-term investors can judge whether the stock is worth deeper research.

Business QualityFinancial StrengthValuationMargin Of Safety
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McDonald's Corporation

MCD
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The setup is interesting enough to monitor, but not yet strong enough for the top research bands. Conservative-case spread versus market price is -31.8%.

0/100Watchlist
Dimension Breakdown
Business Quality15 / 20
Financial Strength12 / 25
Management15 / 15
Valuation / Margin of Safety17 / 25
Macro5 / 10
Key Metrics
Revenue Growth (3Y)
16%
↑
Gross Margin
57.4%
↑
Debt / EBITDA
3.72x
→
FCF Margin
26.7%
↑
Conservative MoS
-31.8%
↓
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Current Market Price
$236.50
Conservative Case
$179.47
-31.8% above
Bullish Case
$284.67
+16.9% upside
⚠️ Trades within 20% of Bullish Case — Limited margin of safety
Normalized FCF$4.92B
Discount Rate / WACC10.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Terminal Value$154.22
Margin of Safety18.6%
DCF Fair Value Range
Conservative:$179→Bullish:$285
Margin of Safety:-31.8%
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Management Quality
CEO Tenure8.4 yrs
Insider Ownership4.2%
Buyback ConsistencyStrong
Capital Allocation ScoreB+
Shareholder Yield3.8%
🔒 Management Score — CEO tenure, buyback discipline, insider ownership score
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CEO tenure, capital allocation discipline, buyback track record, and insider ownership analysis.

Macro & Sector Context
Rate SensitivityModerate
Inflation ExposureLow
Sector Tailwind Score7.2 / 10
Macro Risk RatingMedium
CyclicalityDefensive
🔒 Macro & Sector — Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, sector tailwinds/headwinds
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DCF Fair Value — Full model — WACC, terminal value, sensitivity analysis
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