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Value Investing Scorecard

Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) stock analysis

Updated daily. This free report scores JNJ on business quality, financial strength, valuation, and downside protection so long-term investors can judge whether the stock is worth deeper research.

Business QualityFinancial StrengthValuationMargin Of Safety
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Johnson & Johnson

JNJ
Fails Value Screen

The stock trades above even the bullish-case DCF estimate, so it fails the margin-of-safety test at the current price. Valuation capped at 5 because the current price is above the bullish-case DCF value. Conservative-case spread versus market price is -98%.

0/100Fails Value Screen
Dimension Breakdown
Business Quality15 / 20
Financial Strength18 / 25
Management14 / 15
Valuation / Margin of Safety2 / 25
Macro5 / 10
Key Metrics
Revenue Growth (3Y)
17.8%
↑
Gross Margin
67.9%
↑
Debt / EBITDA
1.19x
↑
FCF Margin
20.5%
↑
Conservative MoS
-98%
↓
Red Flags
⚠️
CapEx / Depreciation < 0.7Medium

CapEx / depreciation is 0.70x, suggesting possible underinvestment.

Intrinsic Value Estimates
Current Market Price
$271.22
Conservative Case
$137.01
-98.0% above
Bullish Case
$222.48
-21.9% above
⚠️ Trades 21.9% above Bullish Case — Overvalued by all scenarios
Normalized FCF$4.92B
Discount Rate / WACC10.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Terminal Value$154.22
Margin of Safety18.6%
DCF Fair Value Range
Conservative:$137→Bullish:$222
Margin of Safety:-98%
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Full DCF breakdown locked

Assumptions, WACC, terminal value, sensitivity math, and margin-of-safety details unlock with the full report.

Management Quality
CEO Tenure8.4 yrs
Insider Ownership4.2%
Buyback ConsistencyStrong
Capital Allocation ScoreB+
Shareholder Yield3.8%
🔒 Management Score — CEO tenure, buyback discipline, insider ownership score
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Management quality locked

CEO tenure, capital allocation discipline, buyback track record, and insider ownership analysis.

Macro & Sector Context
Rate SensitivityModerate
Inflation ExposureLow
Sector Tailwind Score7.2 / 10
Macro Risk RatingMedium
CyclicalityDefensive
🔒 Macro & Sector — Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, sector tailwinds/headwinds
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Macro analysis locked

Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, and sector tailwind/headwind scoring unlock with the full report.

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DCF Fair Value — Full model — WACC, terminal value, sensitivity analysis
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Margin of Safety — Exact downside buffer before you overpay
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Management Score — CEO tenure, buyback discipline, insider ownership
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Macro Analysis — Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, sector tailwinds
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