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International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) stock analysis

Updated daily. This free report scores IBM on business quality, financial strength, valuation, and downside protection so long-term investors can judge whether the stock is worth deeper research.

Business QualityFinancial StrengthValuationMargin Of Safety
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International Business Machines Corporation

IBM
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The setup is interesting enough to monitor, but not yet strong enough for the top research bands. Conservative-case spread versus market price is -1.9%.

0/100Watchlist
Dimension Breakdown
Business Quality13 / 20
Financial Strength12 / 25
Management13 / 15
Valuation / Margin of Safety22 / 25
Macro5 / 10
Key Metrics
Revenue Growth (3Y)
11.6%
↑
Gross Margin
58.2%
↑
Debt / EBITDA
3.78x
→
FCF Margin
17%
↑
Conservative MoS
-1.9%
↓
Red Flags
⚠️
CapEx / Depreciation < 0.7Medium

CapEx / depreciation is 0.35x, suggesting possible underinvestment.

Intrinsic Value Estimates
Current Market Price
$225.51
Conservative Case
$221.38
-1.9% above
Bullish Case
$351.15
+35.8% upside
✅ Trading 35.8% below Bullish Case — Potential upside
Normalized FCF$4.92B
Discount Rate / WACC10.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Terminal Value$154.22
Margin of Safety18.6%
DCF Fair Value Range
Conservative:$221→Bullish:$351
Margin of Safety:-1.9%
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Management Quality
CEO Tenure8.4 yrs
Insider Ownership4.2%
Buyback ConsistencyStrong
Capital Allocation ScoreB+
Shareholder Yield3.8%
🔒 Management Score — CEO tenure, buyback discipline, insider ownership score
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Management quality locked

CEO tenure, capital allocation discipline, buyback track record, and insider ownership analysis.

Macro & Sector Context
Rate SensitivityModerate
Inflation ExposureLow
Sector Tailwind Score7.2 / 10
Macro Risk RatingMedium
CyclicalityDefensive
🔒 Macro & Sector — Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, sector tailwinds/headwinds
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Macro analysis locked

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DCF Fair Value — Full model — WACC, terminal value, sensitivity analysis
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Margin of Safety — Exact downside buffer before you overpay
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Management Score — CEO tenure, buyback discipline, insider ownership
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Macro Analysis — Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, sector tailwinds
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Full Red Flags — Complete risk inventory — every flag, uncapped
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