Value Investing Scorecard
Chevron Corporation (CVX) stock analysis
Updated daily. This free report scores CVX on business quality, financial strength, valuation, and downside protection so long-term investors can judge whether the stock is worth deeper research.
Business QualityFinancial StrengthValuationMargin Of Safety
Free Screen
Chevron Corporation
CVX
Fails Value Screen
The stock trades above even the bullish-case DCF estimate, so it fails the margin-of-safety test at the current price. Valuation capped at 5 because the current price is above the bullish-case DCF value. Conservative-case spread versus market price is -146.5%.
0/100Fails Value Screen
Dimension Breakdown
Business Quality6 / 20
Financial Strength15 / 25
Management12 / 15
Valuation / Margin of Safety5 / 25
Macro5 / 10
Key Metrics
Revenue Growth (3Y)
-21.8%
↓
Gross Margin
30.4%
→
Debt / EBITDA
0.9x
↑
FCF Margin
9%
→
Conservative MoS
-146.5%
↓
Red Flags
⚠️
Revenue Declining 2+ Consecutive YearsHigh
Revenue has declined for at least two straight fiscal years.
⚠️
Operating Cash Flow Diverges From Net IncomeMedium
Operating cash flow differs from net income by more than 40%.
Intrinsic Value Estimates
Current Market Price
$204.45
Conservative Case
$82.93
-146.5% above
Bullish Case
$133.73
-52.9% above
⚠️ Trades 52.9% above Bullish Case — Overvalued by all scenarios
Management Quality
Macro & Sector Context
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DCF Fair Value — Full model — WACC, terminal value, sensitivity analysis
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Margin of Safety — Exact downside buffer before you overpay
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Management Score — CEO tenure, buyback discipline, insider ownership
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Macro Analysis — Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, sector tailwinds
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