Call Me MarginRun Live Analysis
Value Investing Scorecard

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) stock analysis

Updated daily. This free report scores AMZN on business quality, financial strength, valuation, and downside protection so long-term investors can judge whether the stock is worth deeper research.

Business QualityFinancial StrengthValuationMargin Of Safety
Free Screen

Amazon.com, Inc.

AMZN
Fails Value Screen

The stock trades above even the bullish-case DCF estimate, so it fails the margin-of-safety test at the current price. Valuation capped at 5 because the current price is above the bullish-case DCF value. Conservative-case spread versus market price is -1727.9%.

0/100Fails Value Screen
Dimension Breakdown
Business Quality13 / 20
Financial Strength12 / 25
Management5 / 15
Valuation / Margin of Safety5 / 25
Macro5 / 10
Key Metrics
Revenue Growth (3Y)
39.5%
↑
Gross Margin
50.3%
↑
Debt / EBITDA
1.52x
↑
FCF Margin
1.1%
↓
Conservative MoS
-1727.9%
↓
Red Flags
⚠️
Dilution Above 5% Over 3 YearsHigh

Share count increased 6.3% over 3 years.

⚠️
Operating Cash Flow Diverges From Net IncomeMedium

Operating cash flow differs from net income by more than 40%.

Intrinsic Value Estimates
Current Market Price
$246.15
Conservative Case
$13.47
-1727.9% above
Bullish Case
$21.72
-1033.5% above
⚠️ Trades 1033.3% above Bullish Case — Overvalued by all scenarios
Normalized FCF$4.92B
Discount Rate / WACC10.8%
Terminal Growth2.5%
Terminal Value$154.22
Margin of Safety18.6%
DCF Fair Value Range
Conservative:$13→Bullish:$22
Margin of Safety:-1727.9%
unlock to see exact values
🔒

Full DCF breakdown locked

Assumptions, WACC, terminal value, sensitivity math, and margin-of-safety details unlock with the full report.

Management Quality
CEO Tenure8.4 yrs
Insider Ownership4.2%
Buyback ConsistencyStrong
Capital Allocation ScoreB+
Shareholder Yield3.8%
🔒 Management Score — CEO tenure, buyback discipline, insider ownership score
🔒

Management quality locked

CEO tenure, capital allocation discipline, buyback track record, and insider ownership analysis.

Macro & Sector Context
Rate SensitivityModerate
Inflation ExposureLow
Sector Tailwind Score7.2 / 10
Macro Risk RatingMedium
CyclicalityDefensive
🔒 Macro & Sector — Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, sector tailwinds/headwinds
🔒

Macro analysis locked

Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, and sector tailwind/headwind scoring unlock with the full report.

Share this analysis
Post on XShare on Reddit
See the assumptions, valuation stack, and the rest of the report.
📊
DCF Fair Value — Full model — WACC, terminal value, sensitivity analysis
🎯
Margin of Safety — Exact downside buffer before you overpay
👔
Management Score — CEO tenure, buyback discipline, insider ownership
🌍
Macro Analysis — Rate sensitivity, inflation exposure, sector tailwinds
🚨
Full Red Flags — Complete risk inventory — every flag, uncapped
UNLOCK FULL REPORTOPEN IN APP
Shared links are public. Full report unlock happens on the main app with sign-in and credits.

This is an educational research screen, not investment advice.

AMZN Full Report—$2.99 for 1 credit | $9.99 for 5 credits
Unlock Full Report →
Copied!